Hong Kong’s Top Coronavirus Expert Projected How Long The Pandemic Could Last: “This Will Be a Marathon.”

As suspicions increase due to the numbers of sick, dead, recovered and new cases of coronavirus that the Chinese regime offers to the world, now a new controversy is taking place: at the same time that Beijing estimated that by April there could be a pause of the pandemic, a Hong Kong expert – recurring in contradicting continental forecasts – refuted those projections and said the reduction will only be seen in the boreal summer.

Professor Gabriel Leung, from the University of Hong Kong, pointed out that the pause in the outbreak will not necessarily be seen as a consequence of the increase in temperature, although it will be in summer when the greatest brake occurs, at least in that hemisphere. The scholar’s warning came days after who is leading China’s current respiratory illness, Zhong Nanshan, said the pandemic would be under control by the end of April.

“After the end of April, no one can say for sure whether there will be another virus outbreak next spring or whether it will disappear in warmer weather … although virus activity will certainly decrease with higher temperatures,” Zhong said. The cases that increase daily in the southern hemisphere, where temperatures are currently higher than those of China, contradict what the Chinese academic has exposed.


“Will the warmer weather give us a break? The answer is probably not, “Leung said during his participation in a COVID-19 forum broadcast live and hosted by the Asian Society of Hong Kong and partially replayed by the South China Morning Post. According to the explanation given by the Honduran professor This would occur because the vast majority of those infected will already be recovered – and immunized? -, some will remain under observation and a minimum portion will have died.Under this scenario, there would be no new contagions of concern, according to the scholar.

“I agree with the northern hemisphere, the summer months can give us a break, but not because it is summer. But because most of the susceptible people have already been exposed and have been infected and recovered, while a small portion has died, “Leung explained to the virtual audience that was listening to him. “This is going to be a marathon. We are probably going to go through some cycles of suppressing infection through very harsh measures if necessary, lifting them when we see a pause (in the outbreak), and then suppressing them for the next few months at least. ”

Hong Kong, a Chinese city with autonomy in various aspects of its life, had initially managed to contain its first outbreak of the COVID-19 coronavirus with measures such as the closure of schools and government offices and restrictions on travelers from mainland China.

But as students and expatriates returned from Europe and the United States during March, authorities warned that a new wave of imported cases was beginning to overwhelm hospitals. On March 19, city chief executive Carrie Lam banned all non-residents from entering. Returning residents are being screened upon arrival in the country.

During a 14-day quarantine at home, they must wear locator bracelets and their movements are monitored through a mobile app. Lam said more than 200,000 people were currently serving quarantines at their homes. But, nonetheless, those measures were not enough: although until now a total closure was avoided as in mainland China or other parts of Asia, Europe, the United States and Latin America, the authorities ordered the closure of pubs and bars, karaoke rooms, traditional mahjong board game rooms and nightclubs. Meanwhile, restaurant meetings have been limited to just four people.