How Likely They Are To Oust Donald Trump – USA And Canada – International

For the first time, reasonable people in the United States have begun to speculate on the possibility that the Senate will condemn President Donald Trump in a political trial and dismiss him. The probability may still seem low, but Trump's position is weakening, and opinion polls are becoming more and more contrary. It is widely assumed that the House of Representatives will approve the motion to formally accuse him and submit his presidency to the Senate trial, where two-thirds of the votes are needed and the Republicans have a majority.

Trump has been almost hysterical in public, and expresses himself in an increasingly reckless and vulgar manner. And he made great mistakes in foreign policy that angered members of his own party. The withdrawal of US troops from northeastern Syria agreed during a late-night telephone conversation between Trump and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan caused a disaster at the scene (once again, the United States betrayed its Kurdish allies ). Turkish troops have entered northeast Syria, while Syrian forces are moving there. Detainees of Isis escaped from prisons that were previously under Kurdish surveillance.

Russia, surprise, is once again at the center of Trump's foreign policy, and benefits from his acceptance of Erdogan's request and pressure from his allies on Ukraine. Trump tends to believe any fantasy he is told, in particular conspiracy theories about the 2016 election (in this case, that the real culprit was not Russia, whose help Trump is proven, but Ukraine). Trump wanted the new Ukrainian president, Volodimir Zelenski, to investigate a myth that his personal lawyer Rudolph Giuliani put in his head: that Ukraine helped his rival in 2016, Hillary Clinton.

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Giuliani, in the spotlight

Giuliani's participation in the Ukrainian scandal has become increasingly evident in the United States, and an army of journalists is trying to trace on what other things that have an impact on the country's foreign and domestic policy, as well as the identity of his other clients (and who pays him for playing his alleged role as Trump's private lawyer).

Giuliani, the once admired mayor of New York, became a macabre source of national rejoicing, with his numerous television appearances in which he appears to be seemingly beyond himself. He is known to have had his own commercial interests in Ukraine, including the very corrupt natural gas industry, where Hunter Biden (son of Joe Biden) was a member of the board of directors of a company while his father was vice president and was responsible for promoting the fight against widespread corruption in Ukraine. (No unlawful acts of any of the Biden have been proven.)

Meanwhile, two Russian-born Giuliani clients, who lived in the United States and also dealt with the Ukrainian energy industry, were arrested at Dulles Airport, outside Washington, on charges of having made illegal campaign contributions for $ 630,000, as of 2016, to Republican candidates and political action committees, including $ 325,000 to a pro-Trump committee. Trump denied knowing the two, although there are pictures of the three at a dinner at the White House (he excused himself by saying "I have photos with everyone"). It is believed that the money was provided by a Russian oligarch.

Donations include a large sum for a Republican congressman who was successfully pressured to request the dismissal of the US ambassador to Ukraine, Marie Yovanovitch, who had been following an anti-corruption agenda. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo fired Yovanovitch in May, although she did nothing wrong (as confirmed by a State Department figure). Despite objections from the White House, Yovanovitch testified before a subcommittee of the House of Representatives. The testimony was behind closed doors, but Yovanovitch published his introductory statement to the subcommission, in which he emphasized the "emptying" of the State Department during Trump's presidency.

It is said that State Department personnel are increasingly demoralized by Pompeo's role as executor of Trump's political agenda, particularly his apparent lack of protection for Yovanovitch, a respected career officer in the foreign service. Pompeo is known to have presidential ambitions, and he has taken care to fend off Trump or his followers. Several department officials were also concerned about Giuliani's incursions into foreign policy, who are criminally investigated for violation of lobby laws.

An expensive betrayal

Trump's colossal mistake in accessing Erdogan's request to get American troops out of the way so that Turkey could invade Kurdish-controlled territory in northeastern Syria significantly worsened his political situation. The Kurds have the support of Democrats and Republicans for their loyalty to the United States in Iraq and Syria, and now the United States sold them.

Even Senator Lindsey Graham, one of the few Republican politicians defending Trump's strategy with Zelenski, attacked the president furiously. And in an extremely unusual fact, he was also criticized by the majority leader in the Senate, Mitch McConnell; He said that "a hasty withdrawal of US forces from Syria will only benefit Russia, Iran and the Assad regime, and increases the risk of Isis and other terrorist groups regrouping."

Trump's defense of his decision was really bizarre: he said that the Kurds did not help the United States during Normandy's takeover in World War II. A group of bipartisan congressmen prepared harsh sanctions against Turkey, following weaker measures imposed by Trump.

Trump recently lost a string of lawsuits, including one for which he must submit his tax returns to the president of the House of Representatives Media and Arbitration Commission and another on his declaration of a national security emergency to divert funds. army buildings towards the construction of its infamous wall. Now he threatened to sue the president of the House, Nancy Pelosi, and the president of the Intelligence Commission, Adam Schiff, for the attempt to initiate a political trial.

It is common for Trump to make those threats and then not comply with them. But he had his legal adviser in the White House send a letter to Pelosi where he said that the opening of the investigation for the political trial is unconstitutional and swears that the administration will not cooperate in any way. Trump's challenge to Congress is almost certain guarantee that a political trial will be initiated for obstruction of justice, among other possible accusations. And it is expected that this week will appear other inculpatory testimonies.

Assuming that in the end the House approves a formal accusation against Trump, the fact remains that there are far fewer votes in the Senate than necessary to condemn and dismiss him. But now, that Congress (including the Senate) is willing to continue to tolerate the president's dangerous behavior (which puts the national security of the United States at risk) is really in doubt.

The latest from ‘Ukrainegate’

– The White House said Thursday that it retained a package of aid to Ukraine in part because it wanted it to investigate the alleged corruption of the Democrats in the 2016 elections. Shortly after it denied that statement.

– The US ambassador UU. before the European Union, Gordon Sondland, told Congress that Trump ordered his lawyer, Rudy Giuliani, to participate in State Department talks with Ukraine and pressured to investigate a company linked to Joe Biden's son.

ELIZABETH DREW
Journalist and writer residing in Washington. His most recent book is titled ‘The Washington Daily: Watergate and the Fall of Richard Nixon '.

© Project Syndicate – Washington

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