Washington – The United States, the country with the highest number of cases and deaths from COVID-19 in the world, possibly exceeded 100,000 deaths during the pandemic weeks ago, according to a study published this Saturday by the prestigious Yale University and the newspaper The Washington Post.
Experts suggest that the number of deaths from the coronavirus could be higher than that provided by official statistics and have calculated that between March 1 and May 9 there were between 97,500 and 105,500 deaths above the usual average.
Pure calculation to find out the real dead
To carry out the analysis, historical mortality data from other years and estimates of the number of deaths per week since the beginning of 2020 have been managed, taking into account variables such as the intensity of the annual common flu and seasonal changes, to establish the number of dead above the usual average.
And experts found that between March 1 and May 9, the U.S. had 101,600 deaths above the typical average between those dates; representing 26,000 more deaths than those attributed to COVID-19 in official records.
It is likely that not all of those 26,000 deaths were directly caused by the coronavirus, as they may include people who perished as a result of the epidemic, such as those who did not go to the doctor for other diseases for fear of contracting COVID-19 in the hospital.
Above-average death rates are a common tool among epidemiologists for estimating casualties in outbreaks of infectious diseases.
University data as the main source
With more than 1.7 million cases, the U.S. Three days ago it became the first country in the world to exceed 100,000 deaths from the pandemic, according to data from the American Johns Hopkins University, one of the main media sources to report on COVID statistics- 19 in this nation.
According to the university’s website, some of its sources in the US they are the county and state health departments; and unofficial pages like Worldometers or BNO.
The Johns Hopkins interactive map is a reference for the media, due to the delay with which the authorities offer their data and the disparity of official sources, since apart from the federal government, the states and counties have their own data.
Despite doubts about the reliability of the figures, most parts of the US they continue with the measures to reopen their economy and many of the big cities are in full de-escalation, such as Los Angeles, New York and Washington DC.
Still, there are cases like the one in Missouri, where health authorities are looking for “a large number of unknown people” who may have attended pool parties in the Lake of the Ozark area last weekend, after a person has tested positive for COVID-19, local media reported on Saturday.
The Supreme Court rules in favor of confinement, in front of a church
For its part, the Supreme Court today supported the confinement measures ordered by the state of California to prevent the spread of the pandemic, in a ruling against a Pentecostal Church that alleged that they were against religious liberties.
In a 5-4 vote, the judges supported California against the lawsuit filed by the South Bay United Pentecostal Church of Chula Vista, which argued that orders from state governor Gavin Newsom to stay home during the pandemic had ignored the religious freedoms.
In one opinion, Chief Justice Johns Roberts noted that the restrictions in California apply to non-religious congregations of people as well, so they do not pose a threat to freedom of worship.
In this regard, he recalled that confinement measures have also been implemented at non-denominational events, such as conferences, concerts, cinemas, theatrical and sports shows.
Furthermore, “although California guidelines establish restrictions on places of worship, those restrictions appear to be consistent with the First Amendment (religious) free exercise clause” of the Constitution, the magistrate wrote.
This amendment stipulates that the Government cannot legislate to regulate the establishment of a religion or prohibit the free religious exercise.
Despite the favorable ruling by the State, four conservative judges of the Court (out of a total of nine) issued dissenting opinions.